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SL
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Dec 19, 2020 at 8.30pm UK
 
FL

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 0
Farense

Sporar (90+1' pen.)
Tomas (26'), Palhinha (41'), Coates (68'), Santos (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Defendi (36'), Isidoro (43'), Nunes (75'), Mancha (83')
Defendi (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 14.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawSC Farense
64.79%20.78%14.43%
Both teams to score 47.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43%47.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23%69.77%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.07%13.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.62%41.38%
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.18%44.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.21%80.79%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 64.78%
    SC Farense 14.43%
    Draw 20.78%
Sporting LisbonDrawSC Farense
1-0 @ 12.3%
2-0 @ 12.12%
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 7.97%
3-1 @ 6.4%
4-0 @ 3.93%
4-1 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.57%
5-0 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.27%
5-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 64.78%
1-1 @ 9.87%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 20.78%
0-1 @ 5.01%
1-2 @ 3.96%
0-2 @ 2.01%
1-3 @ 1.06%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 14.43%

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