SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for AVS had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | AVS |
43.7% ( -0.05) | 25.84% ( 0.05) | 30.45% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.16% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.15% ( -0.2) | 50.84% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.27% ( -0.18) | 72.72% ( 0.17) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( -0.11) | 23.16% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.96% ( -0.16) | 57.03% ( 0.16) |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.18% ( -0.1) | 30.81% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.91% ( -0.12) | 67.09% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | AVS |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 43.69% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.02% Total : 30.45% |
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