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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 9, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
0 - 0
AVS


Holsgrove (82'), Zanocelo (87')
FT

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 4-0 Estoril
Sunday, November 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 2-3 Famalicao
Sunday, November 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 AVS

Off the back of a 4-0 hammering against Porto, Estoril Praia will be keen to return to winning ways on home turf, where they have picked up two wins and one draw from their last four games. AVS have struggled to impose themselves in the top flight, and given the gulf in quality between the two teams, we are backing Cathro's men to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for AVS had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawAVS
38.45% (0.674 0.67) 25.28% (0.15 0.15) 36.26% (-0.823 -0.82)
Both teams to score 56.71% (-0.58 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.01% (-0.729 -0.73)46.99% (0.73099999999999 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.76% (-0.682 -0.68)69.23% (0.684 0.68)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (0.028999999999996 0.03)24.09% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)58.38% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.71% (-0.78999999999999 -0.79)25.28% (0.792 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.95% (-1.102 -1.1)60.05% (1.104 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 38.45%
    AVS 36.26%
    Draw 25.28%
Estoril PraiaDrawAVS
1-0 @ 8.67% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.196 0.2)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.095 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 38.45%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.184 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 36.26%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Porto 4-0 Estoril
Sunday, November 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 4-1 Arouca
Saturday, October 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Lusitano Evora 0-0 Estoril (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Farense 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, September 27 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-2 Estoril
Saturday, September 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 2-3 Famalicao
Sunday, November 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 0-5 Porto
Monday, October 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sandinenses 0-2 AVS
Sunday, October 20 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Arouca 1-1 AVS
Saturday, October 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 0-0 Farense
Monday, September 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 AVS
Sunday, September 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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