SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for AVS had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.55%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AVS | Draw | Famalicao |
18.53% ( -0.46) | 24.58% ( -0.2) | 56.9% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 44.79% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.26% ( 0.15) | 55.74% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.13% ( 0.13) | 76.88% ( -0.12) |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.64% ( -0.45) | 44.36% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.58% ( -0.37) | 80.42% ( 0.37) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% ( 0.32) | 19.5% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.62% ( 0.51) | 51.38% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| AVS | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.66% Total : 18.53% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.61% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 14.14% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 11.55% ( 0.16)1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.3% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 56.89% |
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