Neither side has anything serious to play for on Friday evening, but it should still be a competitive match between two out-of-form sides. A draw would not be a bad result for either under the circumstances, and we are expecting the points to be shared at Estadio dos Arcos.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-1.22) 
0.93) 
