While Famalicao have hit their stride at the business end of the season, Guimaraes have suffered a drop-off in form, with their European quest now hanging in the balance. Given their contrasting form, we are backing the Vila Nova to pick up where they dropped off on Friday and come away with all three points once again.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 50.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Famalicao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
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