Famalicao come into the game in fine form and will be desperate to get a result in their home leg, but we do not see them having enough to match the current Primeira Liga, Taca de Portugal and Taca da Liga champions and anticipate the Dragoes coming away with a narrow lead.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
0.76) 
-0.79) 
