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Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 4, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
FL

Porto
3 - 2
Famalicao

Galeno (28' pen.), Otavio (120+1'), Evanilson (120+4')
Pepe (30'), Conceicao (89'), Otavio (120+3')
Conceicao (120+3'), Conceicao (120+3')
FT
(aet)
Cadiz (21'), Jaime (75')
Dobre (26'), Colombatto (39'), Rodrigues (83'), Mihaj (100'), Penetra (108'), Moura (110'), Denilson (112')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 1-0 Boavista
Sunday, April 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Famalicao
Sunday, April 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We say: Porto 2-0 Famalicao (Porto to win 4-1 on aggregate)

With just a single goal between them from the first leg, there is very little to split the teams heading into this one, which promises to be closely contested. However, while Famalicao will be sure to provide a stern test for their opponents, it is likely that Porto will have too much quality in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 8.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.8%) and 3-0 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.15%).

Result
PortoDrawFamalicao
75.1% (-0.82700000000001 -0.83) 15.91% (0.428 0.43) 8.99% (0.3989 0.4)
Both teams to score 45.79% (0.239 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.9% (-0.65499999999999 -0.65)40.1% (0.655 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.53% (-0.68 -0.68)62.47% (0.682 0.68)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.93% (-0.351 -0.35)9.07% (0.3509 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.16% (-0.84999999999999 -0.85)30.84% (0.85 0.85)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.36% (0.453 0.45)49.64% (-0.453 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.59% (0.313 0.31)84.41% (-0.31099999999999 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Porto 75.08%
    Famalicao 8.99%
    Draw 15.91%
PortoDrawFamalicao
2-0 @ 12.96% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 10.37% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6.23% (-0.221 -0.22)
4-1 @ 4.36% (-0.096 -0.1)
5-0 @ 2.99% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.09% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.2% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 75.08%
1-1 @ 7.57% (0.204 0.2)
0-0 @ 4.5% (0.136 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.18% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 15.91%
0-1 @ 3.15% (0.134 0.13)
1-2 @ 2.65% (0.105 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.1% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 8.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Boavista
Sunday, April 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Porto
Wednesday, April 26 at 8.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Porto
Saturday, April 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, April 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-2 Porto
Friday, April 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Portimonense
Sunday, April 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Famalicao
Sunday, April 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Porto
Wednesday, April 26 at 8.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Maritimo
Saturday, April 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Guimaraes
Friday, April 14 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-3 Famalicao
Saturday, April 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-1 Arouca
Monday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga


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