SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Boavista |
30.84% ( 0.45) | 26.99% ( 0.41) | 42.17% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 49.79% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.73% ( -1.43) | 55.27% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.51% ( -1.19) | 76.49% ( 1.19) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.19% ( -0.41) | 32.81% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.62% ( -0.46) | 69.38% ( 0.46) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% ( -1.09) | 25.89% ( 1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.12% ( -1.5) | 60.88% ( 1.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.57% Total : 30.84% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.17% |
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