SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Santa Clara |
41.1% ( 0.07) | 27.71% ( -0.03) | 31.19% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.82% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.16% ( 0.09) | 57.84% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.44% ( 0.08) | 78.56% ( -0.07) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% ( 0.09) | 27.66% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.79% ( 0.11) | 63.21% ( -0.11) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.1% ( 0.02) | 33.9% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.43% ( 0.02) | 70.57% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.1% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.19% |
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