Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
