SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Arouca |
41.5% ( 0.05) | 26.52% ( 0.01) | 31.98% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.66% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.93% ( -0.06) | 53.07% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.34% ( -0.05) | 74.66% ( 0.05) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% ( -0) | 25.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40% ( -0) | 60% |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.11% ( -0.07) | 30.89% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.82% ( -0.08) | 67.18% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Arouca |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 41.49% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.98% |
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