Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 43.24%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 28.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
