Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
