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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 15, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
 
PD

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Mario (20' pen.), Palhinha (48')
Mendes (8'), Feddal (14'), Porro (54'), Adan (75'), Cabral (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baixinho (13'), Rebocho (19'), Tanque (22')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawPacos de Ferreira
54.11%25.3%20.59%
Both teams to score 45.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.04%55.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.94%77.05%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3%20.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.7%53.3%
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.84%42.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.43%78.57%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 54.1%
    Pacos de Ferreira 20.59%
    Draw 25.3%
Sporting LisbonDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 13.74%
2-0 @ 10.82%
2-1 @ 9.35%
3-0 @ 5.68%
3-1 @ 4.91%
4-0 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 54.1%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 8.73%
2-2 @ 4.04%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.54%
1-2 @ 5.13%
0-2 @ 3.26%
1-3 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 1.16%
0-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 20.59%

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