Santa Clara have thrown caution to the win in recent games with mixed results, and it will be the same case here. However, with the pressure off the visitors, we feel that they may stifle their hosts and take advantage on the counter, eventually prevailing by a narrow scoreline.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 46.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santa Clara in this match.
-1.09) 
0.37) 
