Rio Ave will be backing themselves to return to winning ways as they take on a Portimonense side who have lost their last six outings. Barring their defeat against Benfica, the Vilacondenses have been solid in recent weeks and we predict that they will hold the hosts to a draw in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.