Following last Saturday's defeat, Braga now return home where they have won eight and picked up 25 points from their last nine matches. Jorge's side have been imperious in the history of this fixture and we fancy them coming away with a comfortable victory in front of their home fans.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 85.19%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 4.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.91%) and 1-0 (10.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.04%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (1.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
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