Sporting have shown some defensive fragility in their opening two games, which is why we believe that Famalicao will trouble the scorers on Sunday.
However, the Lions have also showcased the attacking talent that they possess in their two victories over Vizela and Casa Pia, and we think they will have enough firepower to claim all three points against Famalicao.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 65.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 14.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
0.22) 
-0.09) 
