SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 65.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 14.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Famalicao |
65.22% ( 0.22) | 20.36% ( -0.09) | 14.43% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 48.82% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.22% ( 0.16) | 45.78% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.9% ( 0.15) | 68.1% ( -0.15) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.76% ( 0.11) | 13.24% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.99% ( 0.23) | 40.01% ( -0.23) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.28% ( -0.08) | 43.72% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.1% ( -0.07) | 79.9% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Famalicao |
| 2-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.86% Total : 65.21% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.36% | 0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.43% Total : 14.43% |
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