SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 14.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Famalicao |
65% ( 0.11) | 20.57% ( -0.19) | 14.44% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 48.18% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.34% ( 0.95) | 46.66% ( -0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.08% ( 0.88) | 68.93% ( -0.88) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.42% ( 0.33) | 13.58% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.31% ( 0.66) | 40.69% ( -0.65) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.75% ( 0.69) | 44.25% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.67% ( 0.56) | 80.33% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.71% Total : 64.98% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.39% Total : 14.44% |
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