Sporting Lisbon have enjoyed the better of this fixture, picking up 11 wins from their last 20 meetings, including a 2-0 victory in their most recent encounter. Amorim's side put on a fine attacking display last time out and we predict a repeat of the same this weekend, with the visiting side being on the receiving end of a heavy defeat.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
-0.04) 
0.02) 
