Buoyed by their victory over Pacos de Ferreira, Santa Clara will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to end their losing streak at the Estadio Jose Alvalade. However, Sporting Lisbon head into the game in superb form and will be seeking to close out their season on a high. We predict a one-sided affair with the hosts claiming all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.34%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 8.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 3-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
1.28) 
-0.5) 
