MX23RW : Wednesday, May 25 06:17:34
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May 14, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Sporting Lisbon
4 - 0
Santa Clara
Tabata (41'), Porro (51'), Sarabia (56'), Edwards (78')
Braganca (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Oliveira (69'), Gomez (75')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.34%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 8.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 3-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawSanta Clara
75.34% (1.276 1.28) 15.77% (-0.498 -0.5) 8.89% (-0.778 -0.78)
Both teams to score 45.9% (-1.539 -1.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.26% (-0.236 -0.24)39.73% (0.235 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.91% (-0.24 -0.24)62.09% (0.24 0.24)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.07% (0.23699999999999 0.24)8.92% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.51% (0.57300000000001 0.57)30.49% (-0.572 -0.57)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.4% (-1.826 -1.83)49.6% (1.826 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.62% (-1.313 -1.31)84.38% (1.312 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 75.32%
    Santa Clara 8.89%
    Draw 15.77%
Sporting LisbonDrawSanta Clara
2-0 @ 12.92% (0.42 0.42)
1-0 @ 10.69% (0.23 0.23)
3-0 @ 10.4% (0.437 0.44)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-1 @ 7.3% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 6.29% (0.335 0.34)
4-1 @ 4.41% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.04% (0.193 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.159 -0.16)
5-1 @ 2.13% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.078 -0.08)
6-0 @ 1.22% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 75.32%
1-1 @ 7.5% (-0.229 -0.23)
0-0 @ 4.43% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.18% (-0.235 -0.24)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 15.77%
0-1 @ 3.1% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 2.63% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-2 @ 1.09% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 8.89%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Portimonense 2-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, May 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-1 Gil Vicente
Sunday, May 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Monday, April 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, April 21 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-2 Benfica
Sunday, April 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Tondela 1-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, April 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Sunday, May 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-1 Santa Clara
Sunday, May 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-2 Maritimo
Saturday, April 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Santa Clara
Friday, April 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-0 Estoril
Sunday, April 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 3-0 Santa Clara
Monday, April 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
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Primeira Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPorto34294186226491
2Sporting Lisbon34274373235085
3Benfica34235678304874
4Braga34198752312165
5Gil Vicente34131294742551
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34139125041948
7Santa ClaraSanta Clara34913123854-1640
8FamalicaoFamalicao34912134551-639
9Estoril PraiaEstoril34912133643-739
10Maritimo34911143944-538
11BoavistaBoavista34717103952-1338
12PortimonensePortimonense34108163145-1438
13Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira34911142944-1538
14Vizela34712153758-2133
15AroucaArouca34710173054-2431
16MoreirenseMoreirense3478193351-1829
17TondelaTondela3477204167-2628
18BelenensesBelenenses34511182355-3226
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3Orlando City136341617-121
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls135532014620
5CF MontrealMontreal136252423120
6FC CincinnatiCincinnati136161821-319
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta124441918116
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC135171216-416
9New England RevolutionNew England124352122-115
10Inter MiamiInter Miami134361321-815
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Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia13661189924
2New York City FCNY City1272324101423
3Orlando City136341617-121
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls135532014620
5CF MontrealMontreal136252423120
6FC CincinnatiCincinnati136161821-319
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta124441918116
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC135171216-416
9New England RevolutionNew England124352122-115
10Inter MiamiInter Miami134361321-815
11DC United124261619-314
12Columbus Crew123451515013
13Toronto133371825-712
14Chicago Fire132561117-611
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