SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Vizela win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Braga |
25.35% ( -0.02) | 23.36% ( -0.01) | 51.29% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.5% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.62% ( 0.03) | 43.38% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.22% ( 0.03) | 65.78% ( -0.02) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.26% ( 0) | 30.74% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33% ( 0) | 67% ( 0) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.02% ( 0.02) | 16.98% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.92% ( 0.04) | 47.08% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Braga |
| 2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.63% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.21% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.85% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.54% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.15% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 4.02% Total : 51.29% |
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