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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 8, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Do Vizela
B

Vizela
1 - 3
Braga

Essende (72')
Ortiz (45+3'), Busnic (78'), Escoval (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Banza (15', 56'), Bruma (90+6')
Borja (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 2-1 Vizela
Friday, December 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 3-1 Estoril
Sunday, December 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vizela 1-3 Braga

Vizela are capable of making this a tricky match, and we are expecting them to score on Friday, but Braga's attacking quality should allow them to triumph. The visitors have so many goalscorers in their team, and it would be a surprise if they were unable to claim all three points in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Vizela win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
VizelaDrawBraga
25.35% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 23.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 51.29% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.5% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.62% (0.027999999999999 0.03)43.38% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.22% (0.029000000000003 0.03)65.78% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.74% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (0.0030000000000001 0)67% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02% (0.021000000000001 0.02)16.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.92% (0.035999999999994 0.04)47.08% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Vizela 25.35%
    Braga 51.29%
    Draw 23.35%
VizelaDrawBraga
2-1 @ 6.44% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-0 @ 6.16% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.63% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.43% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 25.35%
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 9.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 8.21% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 5.72% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.85% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-3 @ 3.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 2.54% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 51.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chaves 2-1 Vizela
Friday, December 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 2-1 Estrela Amadora
Friday, November 24 at 7.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Vizela 0-0 Famalicao
Saturday, November 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Vizela
Sunday, November 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-2 Porto
Sunday, October 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Atletico CP 0-1 Vizela
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Braga 3-1 Estoril
Sunday, December 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Union Berlin
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Portimonense 1-4 Braga
Saturday, November 25 at 3.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Braga
Sunday, November 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-0 Braga
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Braga 6-1 Portimonense
Saturday, November 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


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