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A
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 12, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
B

Arouca
0 - 1
Braga


Simao (40'), Santos (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Djalo (36')
Moutinho (45+3'), Bruma (46'), Magalhaes (85'), Ruiz (90+3')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Braga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farense 2-0 Arouca
Monday, November 6 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-0 Braga
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.

Result
AroucaDrawBraga
24.44% (1.089 1.09) 23.56% (0.664 0.66) 52% (-1.752 -1.75)
Both teams to score 55.87% (-0.947 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.9% (-1.85 -1.85)45.1% (1.853 1.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.56% (-1.799 -1.8)67.44% (1.802 1.8)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)32.41% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.08% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)68.92% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65% (-1.299 -1.3)17.35% (1.302 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.26% (-2.329 -2.33)47.73% (2.331 2.33)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 24.44%
    Braga 52.01%
    Draw 23.55%
AroucaDrawBraga
1-0 @ 6.33% (0.477 0.48)
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.199 0.2)
2-0 @ 3.57% (0.262 0.26)
3-1 @ 2.35% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 24.44%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.435 0.44)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.358 0.36)
1-2 @ 9.72% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 8.63% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.68% (-0.305 -0.31)
0-3 @ 5.04% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-4 @ 2.49% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-4 @ 2.21% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 52.01%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Farense 2-0 Arouca
Monday, November 6 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Benfica
Tuesday, October 31 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Moreirense
Friday, October 27 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Felgueiras 1932 1-3 Arouca
Saturday, October 21 at 7pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Arouca
Sunday, October 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Chaves
Sunday, October 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-0 Braga
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Braga 6-1 Portimonense
Saturday, November 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Casa Pia
Wednesday, November 1 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-3 Braga
Saturday, October 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rebordosa 0-2 Braga
Thursday, October 19 at 8pm in Taca de Portugal


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