Not many sides can boast of having gotten the better of Sporting Lisbon this season and after Sunday's victory over Amorim's side, Maritimo will head into this weekend with sky-high confidence. The visitors take on a Vizela side who have struggled for consistency in recent weeks and we predict that they will come away with another close victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.
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