Not many sides can boast of having gotten the better of Sporting Lisbon this season and after Sunday's victory over Amorim's side, Maritimo will head into this weekend with sky-high confidence. The visitors take on a Vizela side who have struggled for consistency in recent weeks and we predict that they will come away with another close victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.

Result
Vizela	Draw	Maritimo
42.36% ( -0.04)	27.56% ( 0.01)	30.08% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 47.8% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.35% (

-0.02)

57.65% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.58% (

-0.02)

78.41% (

0.02)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.11% (

-0.03)

26.89% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.79% (

-0.04)

62.2% (

0.04)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.37% (

0.01)

34.62% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.65% (

0.02)

71.34% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Vizela 42.35%

Maritimo 30.08%

Draw 27.55%

Vizela	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 12.22% 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.35%	1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.55%	0-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.21% Total : 30.08%