Chavez picked up their first win of the season and will hope that result can serve as a springboard for a fine run of form. However, we predict that Vizela will make use of their experience and hold out for a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.63) 
-0.21) 
