The home side are in dreadful form, and we think Chaves will prolong their wait for their first taste of victory this season. The visitors are on a poor run of form themselves, but they have the perfect opportunity to put an end to it here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Chaves
41.7% ( 0.39)	26.64% ( -0.4)	31.65% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.16% (

1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.34% (

1.55)

53.66% (

-1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.85% (

1.29)

75.15% (

-1.3)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59% (

0.91)

25.4% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78% (

1.24)

60.21% (

-1.24)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.59% (

0.8)

31.41% (

-0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.21% (

0.91)

67.78% (

-0.92)

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 41.7%

Chaves 31.65%

Draw 26.64%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.39% Total : 41.7%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.5) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.65%