SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Vizela |
52.83% ( 0.21) | 24.05% ( -0.05) | 23.12% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.73% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.48% ( 0.06) | 48.52% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.35% ( 0.06) | 70.65% ( -0.05) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( 0.1) | 18.32% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.59% ( 0.17) | 49.41% ( -0.17) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.56% ( -0.11) | 35.44% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.8% ( -0.11) | 72.2% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.82% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 23.12% |
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