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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 34
May 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
SRC Velika Gorica

Gorica
2 - 1
Rudes

Matej Juric (59'), Mitrovic (68')
Les (21')
Mitrovic (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Latkovic (14')
Mladina (13'), Kuzmanic (42'), Masala (64'), Kunert (85'), Kruslin (90+3')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and Rudes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 4-1 Gorica
Saturday, May 4 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 1-3 Istra 1961
Friday, May 3 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorica win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Rudes had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gorica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Rudes win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gorica would win this match.

Result
GoricaDrawRudes
50.22% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 23.95%25.82% (0.090999999999998 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.97% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.38% (0.077999999999996 0.08)45.61% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06% (0.072999999999997 0.07)67.94% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)18.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)49.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Rudes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.44% (0.11499999999999 0.11)31.56% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.04% (0.134 0.13)67.95% (-0.133 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Gorica 50.22%
    Rudes 25.82%
    Draw 23.95%
GoricaDrawRudes
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.33% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.73% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 50.22%
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.95%
0-1 @ 6.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.51% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 25.82%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 4-1 Gorica
Saturday, May 4 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-3 Osijek
Sunday, April 28 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 3-0 Gorica
Sunday, April 21 at 6.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, April 13 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-1 Gorica
Saturday, April 6 at 3.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 2-4 Gorica
Saturday, March 30 at 1.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 1-3 Istra 1961
Friday, May 3 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 5-1 Rudes
Saturday, April 27 at 6.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 0-2 Varazdin
Monday, April 22 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 1-3 Slaven Koprivnica
Friday, April 12 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 2-3 Osijek
Friday, April 5 at 3.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 0-3 Rijeka
Saturday, March 30 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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