Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
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