SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Dinamo Zagreb win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
56.09% ( 0.04) | 24.35% ( -0) | 19.56% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.02% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.36% ( -0.02) | 53.64% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.86% ( -0.02) | 75.13% ( 0.02) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.99% ( 0.01) | 19.01% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.43% ( 0.01) | 50.57% ( -0.01) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.05% ( -0.05) | 41.95% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.61% ( -0.05) | 78.39% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 1-0 @ 13.23% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 56.08% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.56% |
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