SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar SC win with a probability of 53.88%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.71%) and 3-1 (6.55%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qatar SC | Draw | Al Ahli |
53.88% ( -0.19) | 20.96% ( 0) | 25.16% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 66.01% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.88% ( 0.19) | 32.12% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.3% ( 0.22) | 53.7% ( -0.22) |
| Qatar SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.82% ( 0.01) | 12.18% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.17% ( 0.02) | 37.82% ( -0.01) |
| Al Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.16% ( 0.24) | 24.84% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.57% ( 0.33) | 59.43% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qatar SC | Draw | Al Ahli |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 53.88% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.44% Total : 20.96% | 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 25.16% |
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