SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 53.29%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Arbroath |
53.29% ( 1.37) | 22.36% ( -0.24) | 24.35% ( -1.12) |
| Both teams to score 59.87% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.25% ( 0.04) | 39.75% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.9% ( 0.04) | 62.1% ( -0.04) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.03% ( 0.48) | 14.97% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.6% ( 0.9) | 43.39% ( -0.89) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( -0.86) | 29.59% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.38% ( -1.06) | 65.62% ( 1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 3.75% 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.29% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.16% Total : 24.35% |
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