SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 53.05%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.02%) and 1-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
53.05% ( -2.12) | 21.5% ( 0.48) | 25.44% ( 1.65) |
| Both teams to score 64.26% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.47% ( -0.59) | 34.53% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.54% ( -0.67) | 56.46% ( 0.67) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.76% ( -0.83) | 13.24% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.99% ( -1.7) | 40.01% ( 1.7) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% ( 0.9) | 25.94% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.06% ( 1.2) | 60.94% ( -1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.23)1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.24)4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.14)4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.14% Total : 53.05% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.31) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.31% Total : 25.44% |
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