SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
36.2% ( 0.04) | 25.67% ( -0.01) | 38.14% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.38% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.3% ( 0.06) | 48.71% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.19% ( 0.05) | 70.82% ( -0.05) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( 0.06) | 26.12% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.81% ( 0.07) | 61.19% ( -0.07) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.96% ( 0.01) | 25.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.29% ( 0.02) | 59.72% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 36.2% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 38.14% |
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