SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Raith Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
52.92% ( 0.61) | 23.38% ( -0.23) | 23.7% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 55.59% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.93% ( 0.65) | 45.06% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.59% ( 0.62) | 67.41% ( -0.62) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% ( 0.46) | 17% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.87% ( 0.81) | 47.12% ( -0.82) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.98% ( 0.02) | 33.02% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.39% ( 0.03) | 69.61% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.04% Total : 52.92% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.38% | 0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.4% Total : 23.7% |
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