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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stair Park
HL

Stranraer
0 - 3
Hamilton


Hendrie (3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradley (34'), MacDonald (54'), Henderson (86')
Barjonas (17'), Henderson (76')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Stranraer and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-1 Stranraer
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 55%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 22.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 2-1 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.

Result
StranraerDrawHamilton Academical
22.65% (-0.02 -0.02) 22.35% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 55% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.75% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.41% (0.0019999999999953 0)41.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)63.98% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Stranraer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)32.02% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.51% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)68.49% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)15.04% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02)43.54% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stranraer 22.65%
    Hamilton Academical 55%
    Draw 22.35%
StranraerDrawHamilton Academical
2-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-0 @ 5.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 3.12% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-1 @ 2.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 22.65%
1-1 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 9.13%
0-2 @ 8.64% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-3 @ 6.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 5.46% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.54%
1-4 @ 2.94% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 2.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 1.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 55%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-1 Stranraer
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Stranraer 1-3 Ross County
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Stranraer 2-0 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 2-0 Stranraer
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 0-0 Dumbarton
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Spartans 0-0 Stranraer
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Hamilton 0-0 Stirling (2-3 pen.)
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Inverness 2-3 Hamilton
Saturday, May 18 at 5.30pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Hamilton 2-1 Inverness
Wednesday, May 15 at 8.05pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Hamilton 3-2 Alloa
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Alloa 2-2 Hamilton
Tuesday, May 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Hamilton 4-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One


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