Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 55%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 22.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 2-1 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
Result | ||
Stranraer | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
22.65% ( -0.02) | 22.35% ( -0.01) | 55% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.75% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.41% ( 0) | 41.58% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.01% ( 0) | 63.98% ( -0.01) |
Stranraer Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.98% ( -0.02) | 32.02% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.51% ( -0.02) | 68.49% ( 0.01) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.96% ( 0.01) | 15.04% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.46% ( 0.02) | 43.54% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Stranraer | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
2-1 @ 5.92% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.49% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.12% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 22.65% | 1-1 @ 10.39% 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.13% 0-2 @ 8.64% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.21% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.54% 1-4 @ 2.94% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.58% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 55% |
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