Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Arsenal Tula win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.