SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akron Tolyatti win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akron Tolyatti win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Akron Tolyatti in this match.
| Result | ||
| Akron Tolyatti | Draw | Orenburg |
41.56% ( 0.02) | 25.37% ( -0.01) | 33.07% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.79% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.09% ( 0.04) | 47.9% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.92% ( 0.04) | 70.08% ( -0.04) |
| Akron Tolyatti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.08% ( 0.03) | 22.92% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.31% ( 0.04) | 56.69% ( -0.04) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.39% ( 0.01) | 27.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.85% ( 0.02) | 63.14% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akron Tolyatti | Draw | Orenburg |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.87% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 41.56% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.07% |
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