SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
38.65% ( -0.03) | 26.8% ( -0) | 34.55% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.42% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.33% ( 0.01) | 53.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.84% ( 0.01) | 75.15% ( -0.01) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.94% ( -0.01) | 27.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.57% ( -0.01) | 62.42% ( 0.01) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% ( 0.03) | 29.5% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.49% ( 0.03) | 65.51% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.65% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 34.55% |
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