SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 50.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 23.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
50.75% ( 0.03) | 25.48% ( -0.01) | 23.77% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.15% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.39% ( 0.02) | 53.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.89% ( 0.01) | 75.11% ( -0.02) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.85% ( 0.02) | 21.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.99% ( 0.03) | 54.01% ( -0.03) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.34% ( -0.01) | 37.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.56% ( -0.01) | 74.44% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 12.37% 2-0 @ 9.61% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.98% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 50.74% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.49% 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 1.65% Total : 23.77% |
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