Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
0.22) 
-0.3) 
