Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.