Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
