Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 38%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CSKA Moscow in this match.
