Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 13.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
