SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Khimki win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | Khimki |
44.73% ( -1.29) | 24.89% ( 0.35) | 30.38% ( 0.94) |
| Both teams to score 56.26% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% ( -1.08) | 46.79% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.95% ( -1.02) | 69.05% ( 1.02) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( -1) | 20.97% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.28% ( -1.6) | 53.72% ( 1.6) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% ( 0.1) | 28.81% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.34% ( 0.12) | 64.66% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | Khimki |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.63% Total : 44.73% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.39% |
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