SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Fakel win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | Rostov |
31.84% ( 0.08) | 25.57% ( -0.02) | 42.59% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.66% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.82% ( 0.11) | 49.18% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.75% ( 0.1) | 71.25% ( -0.09) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.96% ( 0.11) | 29.04% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.05% ( 0.13) | 64.94% ( -0.13) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( 0.02) | 22.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.23% ( 0.02) | 56.77% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.84% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.59% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
