SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Khimki win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Khimki win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Khimki | Draw | Sochi |
38.99% ( 0.39) | 25.21% ( 0.06) | 35.79% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 56.9% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.28% ( -0.31) | 46.72% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.01% ( -0.29) | 68.98% ( 0.29) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.3% ( 0.07) | 23.69% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.19% ( 0.09) | 57.81% ( -0.1) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.57% ( -0.4) | 25.43% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.75% ( -0.55) | 60.24% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Khimki | Draw | Sochi |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 38.99% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.79% |
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