SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 15.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Khimki |
63.51% ( -0.04) | 21.36% ( 0.02) | 15.14% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.43% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.42% ( -0.02) | 48.58% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.3% ( -0.02) | 70.7% ( 0.02) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.35% ( -0.02) | 14.65% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.22% ( -0.03) | 42.78% ( 0.04) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.57% ( 0.02) | 44.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.53% ( 0.01) | 80.47% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Khimki |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 63.5% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.76% Total : 21.35% | 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.14% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 1.42% Total : 15.14% |
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