SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Khimki | Draw | Orenburg |
33.79% ( -0) | 25.32% ( -0) | 40.89% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.45% | 47.55% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% | 69.75% ( -0) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% ( -0) | 27% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.65% ( -0) | 62.35% ( -0) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( 0) | 23.1% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.05% ( 0) | 56.95% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Khimki | Draw | Orenburg |
| 1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.79% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.74% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 9.14% 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 3.27% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.89% |
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